A Bit More Detail

Assorted Personal Notations, Essays, and Other Jottings

[LINK] “Majority out of reach, Tories say”

The future of Stephen Harper, if the claims in Robert Benzie’s Toronto Star article are true, might be dim. This would be the third federal election in a row in which the Conservative Party under his leadership has failed to win a majority of seats in Canada’s Parliament.

Stephen Harper’s Conservatives must win 23 more seats in Ontario to achieve their coveted majority, a task that senior party insiders now admit is almost impossible, the Star has learned.

High-ranking sources confide that even with the collapse of Michael Ignatieff’s Liberals — and NDP Leader Jack Layton’s surge, which helps split the vote in many Ontario ridings — it will be very difficult to make such immense gains in Canada’s most populous province.

At the dissolution of Parliament, the minority Tories held 51 of Ontario’s 106 federal seats.

Party sources say the possible loss of several British Columbia ridings to the New Democrats — and others in Quebec, where Layton is surfing an orange wave — has forced them to revise their projections.

As of Thursday, they said they needed to win at least 74 seats in Ontario to achieve a majority.

“It all comes down to Ontario and we’re just not there,” a source said, speaking on condition of anonymity because the party’s internal polling is closely guarded.

Another source confirmed the Tories’ data echoes publicly available polls, such as Wednesday’s Toronto Star-Angus Reid survey showing the Conservatives at 35 per cent, the New Democrats at 30 per cent and the Liberals at 22 per cent.

Nationwide, the governing party has 143 seats with two vacancies previously held by Conservatives. They must win 155 of Canada’s 308 ridings for the majority that Harper insists is vital for economic stability.

Go, read the whole article. If the New Democratic Party manages to take over seats and votes from the Liberals and Bloc Québécois …

Written by Randy McDonald

April 30, 2011 at 1:39 am

Posted in Assorted

Tagged with , , , ,

%d bloggers like this: